Friday, June 27, 2008

Fuel vs. Food

Do you support Bill C33? This is the Canadian legislation requiring biofuels as a percentage of all fuels sold in Canada. The legislation currently before the Senate, allows the Government to require up to 5% renewables in all gasoline sold here or up to 2% of all diesel fuels. I was asked this question recently and my answer is yes, BUT! Here’s why.

Some people claim that converting corn to ethanol is driving up the price of food. Others say it is taking food away from the poor. Let’s deal with the price of food first.

Commodities are enjoying record high prices due to droughts, crop failures, increased demand from China and India, and financial speculation. Some of the increase in the price of corn comes from the diversion of 30% of the US corn crop to ethanol production. The elevated price of corn does affect the price of some other crops and in Canada there is some conversion of wheat as well. However the long term price of wheat and other grains continues to go down not up. If you factor inflation out of the price, wheat sold for $800/tonne in 1918 but that was during wartime. At the end of WWII it peaked again at almost $600/tonne. The long term trend is around $200/tonne except for occasional spikes, like now. When people criticize our government for an ethanol policy that will increase the price of farm commodities, I say hurray because the current high prices won’t last and anything that prevents farm bankruptcy is a good thing.

Now what about the other argument, that biofuels take food away from the poor? This is a more powerful argument but it is confusing if we only look at it from a North American perspective. We think of agriculture and oil both in terms of exports not imports. In Europe, most oil is imported. Europeans want 10% of all transport fuels to be agriculturally based by 2020. According to the UN Right to Food program, Europeans would have to dedicate 70% of all their arable land to this purpose in order to meet this target. Clearly they expect to meet their targets by importing agrofuels from Latin America, Africa and Asia. Not only can they preserve their own farm land but it is cheaper too. Ethanol that costs $1 to produce in Europe costs $0.30 in Brazil.

So, it is in the southern hemisphere where food will be taken away from the poor. Already edible maize is being replaced by industrial maize. Last year the cost of maize tortillas in Mexico increased in price by 400% causing riots by people for whom this is their staple food.

My guess is everyone would agree that the real payoff with this new technology is not the conversion of seeds (food) into biofuels. It is the conversion of waste (used oils like French fry oil) into biodiesel and wheat straw and wood chips into what is known as cellulosic ethanol. My “yes” has to do with my support of a market for biofuels, making the investment in new technology commercially viable and increasing the income of farmers. My “BUT” means I refuse to be indifferent to the hunger of peasant farmers in the global south. Our goal has to be the conservation of fuel, conversion of waste and the guarantee of the right to food.

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